This post starts by discussing the credit crunch, both in terms of the collapse of London Scottish Bank and the further fall of the pound sterling yesterday, both of which are of course affecting the property market.
At the end of the post you will learn the conclusions that I have drawn from this news, and my suggestions as to how you can profit from it.
London Scottish Bank
If you missed the news yesterday you may not be aware that London Scottish Bank, with deposits of just £273 million, has effectively collapsed. The FSA stopped London Scottish taking any more deposits because it didn’t have sufficient capital to continue, and have forced the bank into administration.
The unusual thing here though is that the Chancellor, Alistair Darling, has stepped in and stated that no retail savers will lose any money, i.e. that all savings are guaranteed beyond the official limit of £50,000 per saver.
The reason of course is clear enough because if he hadn’t done this then there would undoubtedly have been a run on all small banks and building societies (there are still around 40 building societies with deposits of less than £1 billion).
Pound Sterling Falls
Yesterday the pound fell again against the dollar. Despite previous collapses last month, this was the biggest fall in percentage terms since 1992.
This would of course be bad enough under normal circumstances, but this happened against an already weakened US economy. Seemingly it was because economic data pointed towards a prolonged recession and further interest rate cuts.
Sharp falls in the FTSE 100 index, which also fell 5.2% yesterday, undoubtedly helped to undermine Sterling. It is therefore looking likely that the Bank of England will cut interest rates yet again on Thursday.
Investing To Make Money In A Recession
The recession we are entering clearly isn’t about to end any time soon, and this can be good or bad depending largely upon your mindset. Whatever government gets in next will have to make some tough decisions because they will have an awful mess to clear up, but that isn’t really the point here.
History teaches us that recessions are the times when fortunes are both made and lost, and you obviously want to ensure that you are the one making the fortune rather than losing it.
At present both general public, and amateur investor, confidence in the property market is pretty much at an all-time low. What this means of course is that right now it is very much a buyers’ market, so as a professional investor it’s an excellent time for you to buy.
But what happens if prices fall further? The short answer is that it doesn’t really matter providing you correctly understand the fundamentals of the property you are investing in (and you are investing in a specific property, not the entire UK property market!) and invest for the right reasons.
So what is the right reason to invest? In simple terms it is for a guaranteed positive cashflow, and by guaranteed I mean where the annual net rental income (i.e. after deduction of any letting agent’s fees, allowance for voids etc.) genuinely exceeds the full annual operating costs of the property (i.e. mortgage payments after the current discounted rates have gone, annual maintenance, gas certificate, insurance etc.). The wrong reason to invest, ever (and it has now been proven beyond doubt), is because you are speculating on short-term capital appreciation!
If you want help with your investment strategy, and to better position yourself to take full advantage of the numerous opportunities that now exist, then you may wish to consider going on one of the property investment courses that are available. Which course is best for you will of course depend upon your current skill level, and to this end we will shortly be reviewing two of them…
- Mark Tolley, The Sophisticated Investor Course
- Glenn Armstrong, The Glenn Armstrong Property Course
…to give you our opinion on what you may expert to learn if you do spend your money on them. The first review will be with you later this week, the second early next week. We have enjoyed writing the reviews and hope that you will enjoy reading them.
Meanwhile, if you run a property investment course and would like us to review it for the consideration of our readers, please let us know.




